摘要:去年欧美有一本非常有影响的书在中国出版了中译本,是马丁·雅克写的《当中国统治世界》。马丁·雅克是一个中国问题专家,他认为到了2050年,中国将主宰世界、统治世界,那个时候全世界代替美元的全球货币,是人民币。上海将替代纽约成为全世界的金融中心,汉语将像英语一样风靡全世界,孔子就像柏拉图一样,全世界的人都要学习他的经典。他说,过去英国是海上霸主,美国是空中和经济霸主,中国到了2050年将成为文化霸主,中国将以文明统治全世界。

真的有这么好的美景吗?中国真的崛起了吗?是一种什么意义上的崛起?它会走到哪里?中国今天已经走向了世界舞台的中心,成为与美国一样重要的世界大国。但这是一个什么样的大国?马丁·雅克说中国将会以文明大国崛起,然而,中国又是一个什么样的文明呢?

Read more >

环球企业家 2010/03/12赵轶佳

马丁·雅克的《When China Rules the World》从政治、文化、经济、地缘等各方面阐述独一无二的中国现代化进程模式
这并不是一本类似《中国可以说不》的中国人为自己呐喊的充满民族情绪的书籍。《当中国统治世界(When China Rules the World)》一书的作者马丁·雅克(Martin Jacques)是位英国人,和众多试图了解中国奇迹的西方人一样,他在东亚呆过的时间超过15年。在本书中,他试图从政治、文化、经济、地缘等各方面来阐述,中国的现代化进程模式将不同于西方,将是独一无二的。他认为,21世纪将是一个完全不同的世纪,随着非西方国家力量的迅速兴起,西方将不再占据主导地位,一国实现现代化的方式也将多种多样。在这个充满“现代竞争性”的新时代里,中国将成为全球竞技场上的核心角色。中国经济的迅猛增长已经产生了深远的影响,并一直为国际社会津津乐道,但是其影响力远远不止这些:中国的崛起标志着西方民族国家在全球主导地位的终结,同时也表明一个运用多种不同方式塑造的新型世界的崛起。

Read more >

For the growing number of Americans who see China heading for inevitable global dominance, nudging aside the United States, a brief walk down memory lane helps put long-term predictions into perspective. Not so long ago, Japan was seen as the next (economic) number 1. American executives studied the 14 management principles of The Toyota Way, developed by the automobile manufacturer that grew into the world’s biggest car maker and is now recalling millions of defective vehicles.

Read more >

The quest to secure Middle Eastern oil and the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan consume much of the foreign policy establishment in Washington today. But in the next decade, more of the U.S.’s attention will shift to the new Middle East: China

Economists have been predicting this shift for decades. China is already the world’s top manufacturer, top auto market, top cement producer and top polluter. Its military and naval capacity is growing. Its construction-driven hunger for natural resources, especially timber and energy, is reshaping the landscapes of Africa, Southeast Asia and South America. Experts may argue about the pace of China’s economic ascent — Nobel laureate economist Robert Fogel predicts that China’s economy will be an eye-popping 40% of global GDP by 2040, while others project somewhat more modest growth — but few question that it’s happening dazzlingly fast.

Read more >

Ovo stoljeće je stoljeće Kine. Vrijeme Zapada ‐ dva stoljeće njegova uspona i snage ‐ okončano je. Do polovice 21. stoljeća, kada će Zapad ostvarivati manje od polovice svjetskog bruto nacionalnog proizvoda, nastupit će preokret i novi, drukčiji ustroj svijet s Kinom kao glavnom supersilom.

To je osnovna teza kapitalne knjige britanskog učenjaka, profesora na britanskim i kineskim sveučilištima, kolumnista londonskog Timesa i Independenta i osnivača organizacije Demos, dr. Martina Jacquesa “Kad Kina zagospodari svijetom: Kraj Zapadnog svijeta i rađanje novog svjetskog poretka”. Ova opsežna studija u izdanju The Penguin Pressa, izuzetna po analitičnosti i potkrijepljenosti, novom tezom o krahu Zapada izaziva podijeljene reakcije.

Read more >

不同的地缘环境、历史经历与国家特征,决定了中国与西方对外政策的差异。在本书作者看来,尽管中国希望建设强大的军力,但它并不会随意使用这种力量,也不会成为西方传统意义上的帝国主义国家。考虑到“中央王国”观念的深远影响,随着中国全球地位的上升,它或许会选择通过其他方式在世界各地积极发挥影响力。

Read more >

Some of us still dream of Chindia, an approaching phase of history when China and India will not only be the biggest powers on earth, they will partner each other in running the world, which will regard them as one glorious Asian entity

Sino-Indian relations are back in public debate after the New York Times report on Chinese People’s Liberation Army (PLA) soldiers in Gilgit-Baltistan, visa denial to Lt. Gen. B.S. Jaswal, General Officer Commanding in Chief (GOC-in-C), Northern Command, and on top of earlier Chinese transgressions like separate paper visas for Jammu and Kashmir residents. Were not the bilateral relations on the upswing since the handshake between Rajiv Gandhi and Deng Xiaoping in 1988?

Read more >

Second Annual Lecture in East Asian Studies, Bristol University

Bristol, England